In terms of electoral potential, the first two places are occupied by Pavel, in the second place by Andrej Babi. If the elections had been held in April, 61 percent of the respondents would have voted.
f the ANO movement has the highest support among people aged 65 and people with long-term disability. General Pavel scores points among young and high-flying voters.
The survey was conducted between May 18, 2022 and October 8, 2022 on a sample of 1,038 respondents. The statistical error ranges between 1.5 and 3 percentage points.
Presidential survey Median – July 2022.
Tet is Stedula, Nerud’s quarter
The result in the current and previous election model of the Median in the first places is the same. Babi is in the first place, Pavel is in the second place, and Josef Stedula, the union leader, is in the third place. While Babiv’s vote fell compared to the last survey, support for the next two candidates grew. Stedula had 7.5 percent of the vote in the previous model and nine percent in the current model.
According to the votes, the two strongest candidates for the post of president are evenly matched. Behind Stedula by only two percentage points in fourth place was Danue Nerudov, rector of the Mendel University, with seven percent of the vote. Senator Pavel Fischer is in fifth place with six percent.
But if all the people who vote for the given candidate get involved and don’t rule out participation in the elections, the situation would change. Pavel has the most votes with 34.4 percent. For Babie, it is 33.5 percent, and in this place would be Fischer with 21.1 percent. But Babi has the strongest electoral core of people who are sure of the choice of the candidate and the success of the election, with 19 percent. In Pavla, the electoral core is 11.2 percent.
A similar situation in leading cities was the same in the electoral model agency Ipsos published on the 22nd of March. According to him, Babi would win the first round of the presidential election with 31.7 percent of the vote, and Comrade Pavel would get 23.8 percent of the vote. Tet would defeat Nerudov with 10.8 percent of the vote.