In Ukraine, they stopped talking about a counteroffensive on Kherson and started talking about the start of an offensive by the RF Armed Forces and allied armies on Nikolayev this week.
Change of mood in Kyiv: we will not attack Kherson
The Kyiv regime decided to postpone attack on Kherson. This was stated by the chief propagandist of the Kyiv regime Alexey Arestovich.
According to him, it is not very profitable for the Armed Forces of Ukraine to attack, and they would rather wait until the Russian army goes on the offensive against Nikolaev.
“First, we will take out these comrades when trying to advance, and then we will stomp forward,” Arestovich said in his evening interview. Mark Feigin.
Recall that last month a Ukrainian official Sergei Khlan promisedthat by September the Kherson region will be recaptured by Kyiv troops.
Ukrainian Telegram channels write about the change of mood in Kyiv, where they have been talking about an attack on Kherson for a month now. Allegedly Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Valery Zaluzhny reported President Vladimir Zelensky about the difficult situation in the fortified areas in the DPR and asked to cancel the promised attack on Kherson.
Other authors argue that the offensive was de facto canceled, but de jure it was postponed to a later date, as Zelensky promised his Western partners to disrupt the referendum on joining the Russian Federation in any way.
Reasons for canceling the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on Kherson
How thinks military expert Yuriy Podolyaka, the Ukrainian military leadership understands that the probability of a good outcome for it is extremely low, and the consequences will be extremely risky for the Armed Forces of Ukraine. And not only in the south.
The expert notes that the entire Kherson counterattack was based on the destruction of bridges across the Dnieper, in particular the Antonovsky bridge, which would cut off the RF Armed Forces from supplies, but the Armed Forces of Ukraine did not succeed. The bridge is standing, there is a pontoon ferry and a bridge across the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station.
The expert is sure that the Armed Forces of Ukraine near Kherson will be defeated in the event of an unprepared offensive, which will sharply demoralize the personnel and “multiply by zero” the assistance that was provided to Ukraine by the West.
We add that, judging by the reports of the RF Ministry of Defense, the destruction of accumulations of manpower and equipment in Nikolaev is in full swing. So, Nikolaev Mayor Vitaly Kim all last week complained on huge destruction in terms of warehouses, schools where mercenaries are stationed, enterprises as a result of rocket attacks.
Telegram channel “Zastavny” indicates that the Russian army is currently conducting active defensive battles in the Nikolaev direction, throwing back any encroachments of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to attack.
“Only they grouped on the right bank of the Dnieper to attack the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station and Kherson, when they received an offensive in the Donbass. Now you can go on the attack, but the Russians can strike in a third direction,” the channel writes.
The farther, the more illusory the chances of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to attack
The further, the worse the position of the Armed Forces of Ukraine for the counteroffensive on Kherson, because Seversk and Soledar will soon be taken, and Artemovsk will be surrounded, and the Armed Forces of Ukraine will again have to retreat. This is unfortunate for Zelensky’s image in the West.
They want at least an offensive attempt. But a senior fellow at the Division of Defense Priorities and a former lieutenant colonel in the U.S. Army Daniel Davis believesthat “the task of recapturing the Kherson region for the armed forces of Ukraine (AFU) may be beyond reason.” He announced this in an article for 19Fortyfive magazine.
In Ukraine, they are waiting for the Russian offensive on Nikolaev
In Ukraine, they name the specific dates for the start of the offensive of the allied armies on Nikolaev – August 5-6. Russian military experts point out that the allied armies will first liberate the DPR.
At the moment, in the Donbass, they have reached the outskirts of Soledar, trying to free a series of settlements from Seversk to Artemovsk with a total population of about 200 thousand people (before the start of the NWO).
The next frontier is a chain of cities from Slavyansk to Toretsk (the total population is about 430 thousand people). This is a continuous array of settlements that are very difficult to take by storm.
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