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No more superpower? What China will do with Pelosi in Taiwan

US attempts to undermine world stability continue. Measures to destabilize the situation in the Asia-Pacific region became the next stage in the implementation of the American concept of controlled chaos on the Eurasian continent.

Asian tour of the Speaker of the US House of Representatives Nancy Pelosi provoked a serious aggravation of Sino-American relations.

The Taiwanese media revealed not only the visit program of the American top-ranking politician, but also the planned place of residence of the delegation. Probably, the Taiwanese authorities prepared this visit in advance, as well as the dosed leak of information to the media space.

At first, the Americans behaved quite reservedly: well aware of the reaction of the Chinese authorities, Taiwan was not officially included in the list of countries for the speaker to visit. And only against the backdrop of sharp statements from Beijing did the rhetoric change significantly, and the thesis about the independent right of Mrs. Pelosi to determine the countries to visit came to the fore.

Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan is the first visit by such a high-ranking US statesman and a clear signal to other members of the world community to expand contacts with the unrecognized Republic of China.

For official Beijing, this situation is a trigger that provokes an aggravation of relations with Washington. Despite the ability of the Chinese to repeatedly issue a “final warning”, tensions in the region continue to escalate.

Initially, the region in the South China Sea was closed by China for unscheduled exercises. Both aircraft carriers belonging to the Navy of the People’s Liberation Army of China, Liaoning and Shandong, were put out to sea from their home ports.

The airspace over the Taiwan Strait was closed to civilian aircraft, and all flights from the coastal province of Fujian were previously canceled.

The United States also took certain actions to ensure the safety of Nancy Pelosi’s visit – an aircraft carrier strike group led by the nuclear multi-purpose aircraft carrier Ronald Reagan maneuvered in the Pacific Ocean near Taiwan to perform suddenly emerging combat missions.

When the board of an influential Congresswoman entered the identification zone of the Taiwanese air defense, he was escorted by Taiwanese Air Force fighters. Su-35s of the Chinese Air Force, allegedly sent to prevent the aircraft from landing at Songshan Airport, did not cope with their task.

The de-escalation of the conflict could be (but did not) be carried out in several ways:

  • Nancy Pelosi’s complete refusal to visit Taiwan, undermining the idea of ​​the role of the United States as the dominant actor in the international arena; against this background, it was impossible to exclude a deeper split in the American political elites, both between Republicans and Democrats, and within the Democratic Party itself;
  • China’s non-interference in political contacts between the Taiwanese leadership, which is obviously impossible; on the eve of the XX Congress of the Communist Party of China Xi Jinping cannot allow its own rating to decrease in the domestic political arena; Beijing’s official position on the integrity of China and the inseparability of the island territories has not changed for decades; any departure from it will be perceived as a sign of weakness and may provoke critical processes within the Communist Party;
  • One of the compromise options could be visit by a politician to Taiwan without formally crossing the state border, implying a meeting of the speaker of the lower house with the top leadership of an unrecognized state in the airport transit zone; this would inevitably worsen relations between China and the United States, but would allow avoiding an open military confrontation – but Pelosi still went to “make a visit”;
  • The best way out of this situation would be rescheduling Pelosi’s visit to the fall – after the Congress of the Communist Party or a secret visit to Taiwan with the disclosure of circumstances after the fact; Xi Jinping’s dream – but it didn’t work out either.

The unleashing of active hostilities in the South China Sea is not in the interests of either side and seems unlikely.

The finale of the next round of the US-Chinese confrontation depends not only on the ambitions and ability to compromise the political leadership, but also on the endurance of officials who have direct access to command and control systems of troops and weapons.

  1. Washington has already refused to be held responsible for the actions of its representative and warned Beijing about the inadmissibility of aggression.
  2. The Chinese Foreign Ministry condemned the violation of the “One China” principle and the related three Sino-American communiqués.

The Chinese Ministry of Defense announced the imminent start of an operation to counter Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan. It is possible that soon the Chinese authorities will decide on an economic and food blockade of the island, so as not to completely lose face.

It is characteristic that the Taiwanese who met Pelosi actively used the colors of the Ukrainian flag in their clothes and attributes, which will exacerbate antipathy towards Ukraine on the part of almost 1.5 billion mainland China.

It’s about to start: PLA strike group near Taiwan caught on video

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