London announces significant political risk for Putin – DW – 09/22/2022

Announcement by Russian President Vladimir Putin “partial mobilization” is a de facto admission that Russia has run out of volunteers willing to fight in Ukraine, according to the British Ministry of Defense. Even this limited mobilization, in all likelihood, will be extremely unpopular among a part of the Russian population. Putin is taking significant political risks in the hope of building much-needed combat power,” the agency tweeted Thursday, September 22.

In his opinion, even recruitment of 300 thousand people as part of the mobilization the Russian authorities will face logistical and administrative problems. Most likely, they will try to create new formations from those called up for mobilization, but they are unlikely to be combat-ready for several months, the British Ministry of Defense writes.

ISW: mobilization in the Russian Federation will not deprive Kyiv of the opportunity to return the occupied territories

In turn, the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) believes that Putin’s announcement of mobilization reflects many of the problems that the Russian Federation is facing amid setbacks at the front, but they cannot be resolved soon. According to analysts, Putin’s order “will not create significant Russian combat power in the coming months.”

“This may be enough to maintain the current level of the size of the Russian armed forces in 2023 by compensating for Russian losses, although even this is not yet obvious,” the statement continues. Thus, mobilization in the Russian Federation will not deprive Ukraine of the opportunity to liberate most of its occupied territory during the winter, the authors of the review are sure.

Putin announced “partial mobilization”

The day before in the morning Vladimir Putin made an appeal to the Russians and announced “partial mobilization” in order to “defend the motherland and integrity.” At the same time, he referred to the decision of the self-proclaimed “DPR” and “LPR”, as well as the occupation authorities of the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions to hold referendums in order to join the Russian Federation and stated that Moscow would do “everything to ensure safe conditions for referendums.” The decree has already been signed, the parliament has been informed about the decision, the mobilization begins on the same day, he said.

Russian President promised that only citizens in the reserve would be called up, first of all, those who served in the armed forces, have certain military specialties and relevant experience. Meanwhile, his decree does not specify the criteria and principles of conscription and does not explain the partial nature of mobilization. Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu announced that 300,000 reservists would be called up.

The youth democratic movement “Spring” then called on the Russians to go to protests throughout the country. The activists stressed that after the announcement of the mobilization “war truly come to every home and every family”, and the Russians “must die to correct the mistakes of the Putin regime, which plunged Russia into monstrous slaughter, isolation and poverty.” “The protest action is only the beginning. We are sure that the decision on graves could be the end for this government. Now the country needs to get out. Everything is in our hands!” they added.

See also:

Putin announced mobilization: Russia is up to its neck in the war

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