Candidates for mayor of Lima Rafael Lopez Aliaga (Popular Renewal) and Daniel Urresti (Podemos Peru) dispute the preferences with a slight difference, both in the exit poll result as in quick count Ipsos Peru. At this time, either of the two could become the next mayor of Metropolitan Lima for the 2023-2026 period, but we will have to wait for the ONPE results to be 100% official.
What would characterize a management of one or the other as occupants of the municipal seat? How will the turbulent political landscape change in Peru? In this regard, we talked with Louis Benaventeexpert in political communication and director of Vox Populi, who analyzed the municipal elections and commented on what could be expected from each candidate.
Benavente indicated that it should be taken into account that there has been a conditioning that has marked this election and that it has not occurred in previous elections where the candidates sought to highlight their technical capabilities more. In this case, This is a highly politicized election.
“It is true that a municipal election is a political election, but this time it is more politicized. In other times there were public managers like Luis Castaneda, who was more immersed in the management dynamics. In other cases, Alberto Andrade himself assumed a more political role”, he stated.
However, he stressed that, on this occasion, “a competition of figures linked to public management” was not at stake. And the proof of this, points out the analyst, is that the three candidates who led the polls and who added around 75% of the valid vote are three presidential candidates who campaigned a year and a half ago.
Along these lines, he stated that if before it was usual for Peruvian politics to be divided between “Fujimorism” and “anti-Fujimorism”; today another line is forming that divides “rights” and “lefts”.
That would be seen in an association of two candidates for the government (Daniel Urresti and George Forsyth) and another opponent (Rafael López Aliaga). “I think the court is laid out a little bit in these terms. Those who can show affinity to the government are not open government supportersIf they were, it would not be successful, but many can see them as undercover government supporters,” he added.
A management of Rafael Lopez Aliagawould undoubtedly be characterized by its political definition and would resemble, according to Luis Benavente, the last stage of Alberto Andrade as mayor of Lima, who openly led the opposition against Alberto Fujimori in the late 1990s and until 2000.
Thus, the leader of Renovación Popular would go on to lead the opposition against Pedro Castillo. Secondly, has an image of a successful businessman that should enable good project management to improve the infrastructure of a city overwhelmed by traffic problems and vehicular chaos.
Regarding the campaign promises made by the candidate for Popular Renewal, Benavente pointed out that yes it is possible to execute many of these works as Luis Castañeda Lossio has done before. In addition, López Aliaga could obtain resources and financing for his plans for Lima.
“If Castañeda did it, López Aliaga can do it, and with the economic growth that has occurred, it is more likely,” he said.
However, he specified that the money that can be obtained would not be enough for so many campaign promises and he would have to seek public-private partnerships.
A management of Daniel Urresti would be marked by your profile citizen security for his police training and professional experience and that has been the characteristic of his campaign.
However, Benavente indicated that, from the Municipality of Lima, it would be difficult to manage the security of all Metropolitan Lima, since it could only do so in the Lima Cercado. Instead, security in the districts is controlled, in addition to the Police, by the night watchmen of each district.
“On this issue there are also powers of the Central Government, the Ministry of the Interior and the National Police. I believe that these promises (of security) may have some possibility, not from the point of view of investment or direct management, but rather of leadership of the issue, as Metropolitan Mayor”, said Benavente.
On the other hand, the entrepreneurial capacity and ability to promote investment is not as clear in Urresti as it was perceived in López Aliaga.