Elections in Brazil: “leftist” candidate Lula da Silva wins by 1%

On October 30, according to the results of a popular vote, Luis Insaiu Lula da Silva was proclaimed the new leader of the

On October 30, according to the results of a popular vote, Luis Insaiu Lula da Silva was proclaimed the new leader of the “country of football and coffee”.

A photo: REUTERS

The Russian philosopher Dmitry Galkovsky warned many years ago about the “threat of the Latin Americanization of the United States.” In the sense that the once most powerful country in the world is becoming more and more like some of its neighbors in the Western Hemisphere, some kind of Chile of the 1970s: with economic crises, street riots and political repressions against “undesirables”.

But in this case, the opposite is also true. Only the laziest political scientist failed to compare Sunday’s elections in Latin America’s largest state, Brazil, with the situation in the US. On October 30, following the results of a popular vote, the new leader of the “country of football and coffee” was proclaimed by Luis Incaio Lula da Silva. True, he was only one percentage point ahead of his main opponent, incumbent President Jair Bolsonaro.

What does this remind you of? That’s right, the elections in the United States in 2016 and 2020. When between two candidates with diametrically opposed views (one can be conditionally called a “right-wing nationalist” and the other a “left-liberal”), the gap was also negligible. All this resulted in long rallies of those who considered themselves “unfairly lost.” So it is in Brazil: the current president, Jair Bolsonaro, has refused to recognize the results of the vote, and, given the local specifics, street clashes between warring groups are likely.

For society is polarized in the same way as the leaders of the two factions. 77-year-old da Silva was born into a poor family, did not really receive an education, and comes to power from the “Party of Workers” – socialists, whose views are clear from the name. He has something to present to the voters: in 2003-11, da Silva was already president. Those years were remembered for their rapid economic growth and large-scale social programs. And rampant corruption. In 2017, the court sentenced the former president to a long prison term for murky schemes around the state oil company … But two years later, all the charges were declared illegal, the “candidate of the people” returned to big politics.

His opponent Jair Bolsonaro is the exact opposite. He graduated from a military school (in Latin America, this is a pass to the elite). And five years ago, he successfully ran for the presidency under the slogan “Brazil is above all, the Lord is above all.” Ruled in the spirit of a kind of “right-wing anti-globalism”. He did not mind if gangsters in prisons were tortured (street gangs are the scourge of the country), and he also opposed vaccination against coronavirus, considering the “plague-2020” to be an ordinary flu.

What does all this remind you of? That’s right, former US leader Donald Trump. By the way, they were friends with Bolsonaro. It is not surprising that the current owner of the White House and Trump’s opponent, Joe Biden, immediately and with undisguised pleasure congratulated da Silva on his victory. However, there are still two months before the inauguration of the elected president (which is scheduled for January 1), and a lot can happen during this period.

How will the changes in the Latin American country affect Russia? On February 16, 2022, shortly before the start of the special operation, Jair Bolsonaro, at the invitation of Putin, arrived in the Kremlin to discuss the development of economic ties. And this despite the pressure of the United States, dreaming of the “international isolation of Moscow.”

But Lupa da Silva is, to some extent, “our” person. It was during his presidency that BRICS was formed – an informal union of the developing economies of Russia, India, China, Brazil and South Africa, created as a counterbalance to elite Western formats like the G7. So whoever ends up in power in Brazil, most likely, he will adhere to a constructive policy and remain a partner of Moscow.

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